Extratropical Highlights
APRIL 2009
Forecast Forum
1. Northern Hemisphere
The 500-hPa height
field during April 2009 featured positive anomalies over the
Gulf of Alaska
, the central
North Atlantic
,
Europe
, and eastern
Asia
, and negative anomalies over the high latitudes of the
North Atlantic
and central
Russia
(Fig. E9).
Over the
Pacific Ocean
and
North America
, the circulation continued to reflect a westward retraction of the East Asian
jet stream (Fig. T21)
and a westward shift of the downstream ridges and troughs. These conditions
partly reflect a lingering La Ni�a signal.
The main
temperature signals during April included above average temperatures in
Europe
and northeastern
Asia
, and below average temperatures in northwestern
North America
and in the vicinity of the
Caspian Sea
(Fig. E1).
The main precipitation signals included above-average totals in the central
U.S.
and east of the
Caspian Sea
, and below-average totals in western
Canada
/ southeastern
Alaska
and
Europe
/ western
Russia
(Fig. E3).
a. North Pacific/
North America
At 200-hPa, La Ni�a
again contributed to enhanced mid-Pacific troughs in both hemispheres flanking
the suppressed equatorial convection, and a westward retraction of the
subtropical ridges toward Australasia (Fig. T22).
Associated with this pattern, the East Asian jet stream was retracted westward
toward the western Pacific (Fig. T21).
These conditions contributed to a westward shift to the
Gulf of Alaska
of the mean ridge normally located over western
North America
, and a westward shift of the mean
Hudson Bay
trough toward western
North America
(Fig. E9).
These conditions
were associated with cooler (Fig. E1)
and drier (Fig. E3)
than average conditions from southern
Alaska
to
California
. They were also associated with well above average precipitation in large
portions of the central and northern Plains regions of the
United States
(Figs. E3, E6).
b.
North Atlantic
and
Eurasia
Over the
North Atlantic
and
Europe
, the circulation during April featured a 4-celled pattern of 500-hPa height
anomalies (Fig. E9). This pattern reflected an
anomalously zonal jet stream configuration across the
North Atlantic
, and a pronounced split-flow pattern over
Europe
. The anomalous ridge over
Europe
contributed to well above average temperatures in eastern Europe (Fig.
E1), and to an extensive area of significantly
below average precipitation across
Europe
and western
Russia
(Fig. E3).
Also during April an anomalous wave pattern contributed to cooler and wetter
than average conditions in the vicinity of the
Caspian Sea
, and to well above average temperatures in northeastern
Asia
.
2. Southern Hemisphere
The circulation during April continued to reflect
some aspects of La Ni�a, with an enhanced ridge over the central South Pacific
and an anomalous trough over the high latitudes of the eastern South Pacific (Figs.
E15, T22).
Also evident during the month was a zonal wave-4 pattern, with above average
heights over southern
South America
, the eastern
South Atlantic
, and the eastern
Indian Ocean
, and below average heights over the western
South Atlantic
and western
Indian
Ocean
.
A main
La Ni�a signal was again evident in the pattern of below average precipitation
in southeastern
South America
(Fig.
E3). This region has received below average
rainfall in every month since November 2008, and during April 2009 the totals
were in the lowest 10th percentile of occurrences (Fig.
E4).
In
southern
Africa
, the rainy season extends from October
through April. Rainfall during April was slightly below-average for the region
as a whole, although portions of
Zimbabwe
and
Mozambique
recorded well below average totals (Figs.
E3, E4). Overall, the
2008-09 rainy season has been above average, which is consistent with La Ni�a.
|