MJO Monitoring and Forecast

Real-Time MJO Index
Monitoring		Forecast
Latest 40 Days	Latest 90 Days	Latest 40 Days	Latest 90 Days

Real-time Forecast of MJO-Associated OLR Anomalies
GFS Operational	PC Regression	Autoregressive Model

MJO-Associated Spatial Anomalies
OLR	u850	u200	chi850	chi200

Total & MJO-Associated Spatial Anomalies
OLR	u850	u200	chi850	chi200

CFS/GFS Forecast Verification
15d fcst initialized on 8 days ago	15d fcst initialized on 15 days ago

Correlation Skill of CFS/GFS and Statistical Forecasts
Skill for 2005.1.1-Date	Skill for 2005.1.1-12.31

winter (DJFM) OLR composite by MJO index from 1982 to 2004

summer (JJAS) OLR composite by MJO index from 1982 to 2004

Description of methods and NCEP forecasts

Send your comments to: Kyong-Hwan.Seo@noaa.gov