Through a joint CTB project between CPC and IRI, IRI has created calibrated Week 3-4 SubX predictions using extended logistic regression (ELR) methods.
Below is a selection of ELR calibrated forecasts that have been re-plotted for CPC. Images below depict week 3-4 precipitation and temperature ELR
calibrated median 2-category forecasts. All images are courtesy the IRI ELR team, and have simply been re-plotted.
Additional images, including tercile categories and week 2-3 predictions can be found at the IRI experimental map room:
http://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/Global/ForecastsS2S/index.html
Additonal images can easily be brought into this page for ease of use, contact Johnna for requests.
PI's: Andrew Robertson and Dan Collins
ELR Team: Andrew Robertson (IRI), Cuihua Li (IRI), Jing Yuan (IRI), Mike Tippett (IRI), Nachiketa Acharya (IRI)
Dan Collins (CPC), Emerson LaJoie (CPC), Johnna Infanti (CPC)
For BJP Calibrated tmp2m, visit
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/jinfanti/subx/
Week 3-4 Global |
Week 3-4 Africa |
Week 3-4 Central America
ELR Calibrated Forecast Probabilities